Five questions India needs to answer about its PLI scheme

September 19, 2022

Five questions India needs to answer about its PLI scheme

India is trying to become a manufacturing powerhouse in a clutch of old and new sectors. Its policy instrument, the production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme, stands on a mix of old and new pillars—high import tariffs to coax companies to stop importing and source in India instead; a focus on creating a few champions in each sector where India wants global competitive advantage; an interim disability cost paid out by the government to these firms to offset the inefficiencies of manufacturing in India; and maximal localisation in each value chain to reduce dependence on other countries.

Two years into its launch, how is the scheme doing? The government is bullish. On Independence Day this year, Prime Minister Narendra Modi said India is becoming a manufacturing hub. According to The Economic Times, the scheme has generated investment commitments of Rs2.34 lakh crore (US$ 29.35 billion) across 14 sectors. Critics are less sanguine. India has tried in the past to boost domestic production by erecting import barriers. The outcome wasn’t pretty. Indian firms lobbied the government for prolonged subsidies and import barriers, and sold expensive products priced just below imports. Overall efficiency fell. India seems to be slipping down the same slope again.

As we saw with the polysilicon and battery PLIs, some aspects of the scheme weaken the country’s chances of dominating these sectors. In the third—and concluding—part of this series, CarbonCopy raises five questions about the PLI scheme. India’s inroads into global manufacturing chains, not to mention the future direction of these sectors in India, sizeably depend on how the country addresses each of these issues.

These questions are:
1. Is India choosing sectoral champions well?
2. Is PLI support significant?
3. Can one firm dominate a value chain?
4. Can import substitution yield export competitiveness?
5. Could India have used this money better?

Other questions — like the lack of emphasis on R&D while rabbiting on endlessly about creating the technological leaders of tomorrow — are woven into these questions.
These are all deeply consequential questions. Given how much rides on them — the future structure of India Inc, if this will deepen oligarchy, the country’s future import bills; its prospects as an exporter, jobs, one could go on — such policies have to see more discussion than they have.
Also, here is Part One: https://carboncopy.info/how-far-will-indias-landmark-manufacturing-scheme-propel-it-in-the-global-energy-race/
And Part Two: https://carboncopy.info/what-indias-solar-and-battery-plis-tell-us-about-how-the-scheme-is-working/
Do read.

Capital, Ecology, Politics

Competitiveness, India, Manufacturing, Net Zero, PLI

Posted by:

m rajshekhar

Reviews

“…une plongée dans les failles béantes de la démocratie indienne, un compte rendu implacable du dysfonctionnement des Etats fédérés, minés par la corruption, le clientélisme, le culte de la personnalité des élus et le capitalisme de connivence. (…a dive into the gaping holes in Indian democracy, a relentless account of the dysfunction of the federated states, undermined by corruption, clientelism, the cult of the personality of elected officials and crony capitalism).” Le Monde

“…a critical enquiry into why representative government in India is flagging.” Biblio

“…strives for an understanding of the factors that enable governments and political parties to function in a way that is seemingly hostile to the interests of the very public they have been elected to serve, a gross anomaly in an electoral democracy.” Scroll.in

“M. Rajshekhar’s deeply researched book… holds a mirror to Indian democracy, and finds several cracks.” The Hindu

“…excels at connecting the local to the national.” Open

“…refreshingly new writing on the play between India’s dysfunctional democracy and its development challenges…” Seminar

“A patient mapping and thorough analysis of the Indian system’s horrific flaws…” Business Standard (Image here)

“33 മാസം, 6 സംസ്ഥാനങ്ങൾ, 120 റിപ്പോർട്ടുകൾ: ജനാധിപത്യം തേടി മഹത്തായ ഇന്ത്യൻ യാത്ര… (33 months, 6 states, 120 reports: Great Indian journey in search of democracy…)” Malayala Manorama

“Hindustan ki maujooda siyasi wa maaashi soorat e hal.” QindeelOnline

“What emerges is the image of a state that is extractive, dominant, casteist and clientelist.” Tribune

“…reporting at its best. The picture that emerges is of a democracy that has been hijacked by vested interests, interested only in power and pelf.” Moneycontrol.com

Book lists

“Ten best non-fiction books of the year“, The Hindu.

“Twenty-One Notable Books From 2021“, The Wire.

“What has South Asia been reading: 2021 edition“, Himal Southasian

Interviews

“Journalism is a social enterprise…,” Booksfirst.in.

“Democratic decay at state level: Journalist M Rajshekhar on book ‘Despite the State’,” The News Minute.

“Covid-19 en Inde : “des décès de masse” dont un “État obscurantiste est responsable,” Asialyst.

Allusions/Mentions

“JP to BJP: The Unanswered Questions“.
Mahtab Alam’s review of “JP to BJP: Bihar After Lalu and Nitish”.

“Urban History of Atmospheric Modernity in Colonial India“. Mohammad Sajjad’s review of “Dust and Smoke: Air Pollution and Colonial Urbanism, India, c1860-c1940”.

“Westland closure: Titles that are selling fast and a few personal recommendations,” by Chetana Divya Vasudev, Moneycontrol. (Because this happened too. In February, a year after DtS was released, Amazon decided to shutter Westland, which published the book. The announcement saw folks rushing to buy copies of Westland books before stocks run out.)

“Time to change tack on counterinsurgency” by TK Arun, The Federal.

“All Things Policy: The Challenges of Governing States” by Suman Joshi and Sarthak Pradhan, Takshashila Institute (podcast).

“The Future of Entertainment“, Kaveree Bamzai in Open.

“On What India’s Watching“, Prathyush Parasuraman on Substack.

“The puppeteers around us“, Karthik Venkatesh in Deccan Herald.

“Will TN election manifestos continue ‘populist’ welfare schemes?“, Anna Isaac for The News Minute.

“Why wages-for-housework won’t help women“, V Geetha in Indian Express.

“The poor state of the Indian state“, Arun Maira in The Hindu.

Book discussions

12 November, 2022: Stop Loss: Overcoming the systemic failures of the Indian State. Tata Literature Festival, Mumbai.

26 December, 2021: Rangashankara, Bangalore, a discussion with Dhanya Rajendran.

16 November: Rachna Books, Gangtok, a discussion with Pema Wangchuk.

29 August: Books In The Time of Chaos, with Ujwal Kumar.

21 May: Hyderabad Lit Fest with Kaveree Bamzai and Aniruddha Bahal.

28 March: Paalam Books, Salem, Tamil Nadu.

19 March: The News Minute, “Citizens, the State, and the idea of India“

6 March: Pen@Prithvi, with Suhit Kelkar

20 February: A discussion between scholars Usha Ramanathan, Tridip Suhrud, MS Sriram and me to formally launch Despite the State.

6 February: DogEars Bookshop, Margoa.

5 February: The Polis Project, Dispatches with Suchitra Vijayan.

30 January: Founding Fuel, “Systems Thinking, State Capacity and Grassroots Development“.

25 January: Miranda House Literary Society

Fractured/Earth